Measure · Community

Part I Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents)

Reported Part I crimes (violent and major property offenses as defined by the FBI) per 1,000 residents. It is the primary indicator of community safety; the target is 30 or fewer.
Below Plan

Actual vs Target

Quarterly · Q3-24 to Q2-26

Quarterly Analysis

  1. The most recent quantified result was 29.4 Part I crimes per 1,000 residents, an increase of 1.8 from 27.6 in the prior quarter—approximately a 6.5% rise.
  2. Although 29.4 remained within the prior threshold of 30 per 1,000, the increase reduced the remaining margin to 0.6 per 1,000, leaving performance vulnerable to a relatively small additional increase.
  3. The increase was associated with theft from auto and commercial burglary near spring events, ferry overflow parking, and construction staging areas around East Harbor redevelopment permits, indicating concentrated rather than broadly described crime pressures.
  4. The current Below Plan status, alongside the Below Plan Safe & Secure Neighborhoods objective, indicates that this earlier deterioration has progressed into a material public-safety performance gap. Current-period rate data are not available to quantify the size of the gap.

Recommendations

  1. Sustain the core CompStat and directed-patrol model that kept the rate green, but add a 30-day sprint on theft from auto at South Ferry, Convention Center Lots B-D, and the East Harbor construction perimeter.
  2. Extend police-private security coordination to the three largest active redevelopment sites, requiring weekly incident logs from site managers and camera access contacts by close of business Friday.
  3. Bring a brief exception note to the next scorecard review: 29.4 per 1,000 residents, up 1.8, green, with a concrete July deployment plan so council sees management action before the line reaches yellow.